Saturday, December 12, 2009

AG's UFC 107 Quick Picks (12/12/09)

My apologies for the lack of 'analysis'. To follow are strictly picks with minimal commentary:

Preliminary Card

* Welterweight bout: Kevin Burns vs. TJ Grant
Grant - Submission - Rd 1

* Welterweight bout: DaMarques Johnson vs. Edgar Garcia
Garcia grinds out a decision

* Middleweight bout: Rousimar Palhares vs. Lucio Linhares
The jiu-jitsu skills of these two will cancel out here. The better striker wins. I don't think Palhares can hang IMO.
Linhares - KO - Rd 2

* Welterweight bout: Johny Hendricks vs. Ricardo Funch
Blink and you might miss out on this fight.
Hendricks - TKO - Rd 1

* Lightweight bout: Matt Wiman vs. Shane Nelson
Nelson - decision

* Catchweight bout (195 lbs): Alan Belcher vs. Wilson Gouveia
Belcher - KO - Rd 2

Main Card
* Welterweight bout: Jon Fitch vs. Mike Pierce
Fitch - Will show us that trademark snarl after his victory via GnP in Rd 2

* Heavyweight bout: Paul Buentello vs. Stefan Struve
Buentello's a tough opponent but Struve has freakish size and good jiu jitsu for a heavyweight.
Struve - Submission - Rd 1

* Lightweight bout: Kenny Florian vs. Clay Guida
Guida hads been training with Greg Jackson's camp and we'll see if this helps Guida evolve. Admittedly, Guida will keep a relentless pace which will be difficult for KenFlo to keep up with but Florian should adapt and turn this fight around in the end.
Florian - decision

* Heavyweight bout: Frank Mir vs. Cheick Kongo
A bigger, stronger Mir will donimate leaving no doubt that he should be considered as a title contender in the first part of 2010.
Mir - Submission - Rd 2

* Lightweight Championship bout: B.J. Penn (c) vs. Diego Sanchez
I'm a big Sanchez fan and love that he moved down to Lightweight. He'll give BJ fits early on but unless he can take 'The Prodigy' out early in the fight, 'Nightmare' will end up on the receiving end of a Penn beatdown.
BJ retains the belt with a TKO in Rd 4

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